Jaures
(Source FR) https://www.agoravox.fr/t[...]l-union-europeenne-243289
Pourquoi l’Union Européenne pourrait disparaître d’ici un an
(EN) https://politique.forum-a[...]ikodel-new-network#516929
Why the European Union could disappear within a year
The sacrificial vassal
Germany has been very powerful in the European Union and has imposed austerity on the weaker European economies of Greece, Spain, Italy and Portugal. Berlin is now demanding that other EU member states bail out the Germans from what will soon inevitably be an energy emergency resulting from Germany's compliance with the US demand not only to join the US sanctions against Russia, but also to shut down the Russian Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which was supposed to increase - rather than decrease (as it will now) - Europe's supply of Russian natural gas.
Germany was, until recently, the industrial engine of the EU, and therefore has the most to lose from a reduction and significant increase in its energy supplies. As these energy supplies are reduced, energy prices will rise and then soar, and the German economy will be crushed. German leaders (like those of other EU countries) have bowed to the demands of US sanctions against Russia (which are based on falsified "information"); as a result, the German people will soon be frozen out, even as Germany spends on energy at astronomically higher prices than it used to pay.
The fall in energy supplies from Russia will be replaced by an increase in supplies from other countries (including America) whose energy is much more expensive than Russia's; and only a small fraction of these reduced supplies from Russia can be replaced. Something will have to give, probably the EU itself, because the resulting rapid escalation of internal hostilities between EU nations - especially between Germany and the nations it now expects to bail it out of this crisis - could break up the EU itself irrevocably.
Variable geometry ecology
This will happen at the very moment when the EU - which was strongly committed to reducing or even eliminating nuclear and fossil fuels, especially coal - is suddenly rushing to dramatically increase its use of these environmentally unfriendly fuel sources. European voters will not like it when their leaders make a 180 degree turn on global warming. New and unanticipated issues will inevitably arise.
Moreover, the transition back to fossil fuels may not even happen as quickly as European leaders promise; and, as a result, not only will Europeans be cold next winter, but their leaders will have to explain themselves without admitting that they were wrong - terribly wrong and unprepared - and this undeniable fact will cause political chaos, as mutual recriminations about their multiple failures will cause Europeans to question the whole EU project, the project of creating a single, incomprehensibly bureaucratic European Union satellite of the United States.
Nostalgia for the past, for the beautiful independent nations of Europe, and bitterness for the future, for the 'north versus south' (etc.) in Europe, will take over, weakening the fabric of the EU and calling into question the whole post-World War II transatlantic alliance (subservient, in fact, to the Russia-hating US government), both US-NATO and its political twin, the US-dominated EU and its thousands of American servants in Brussels.
The most recent comprehensive assessment of the energy needs of the EU nations is the September 2008 report "Europe's Dependence on Russian Natural Gas: Prospects and Recommendations for a Long-Term Strategy" by Richard J. Anderson of the George C. Marshall European Center for Security Studies, funded by the US and European governments.
Marshall European Centre for Security Studies, funded by the US and German governments. He made it clear that the cheapest and fastest growing fuel in Europe (unless EU countries put policies in place to change this, which has not happened) was Russian natural gas piped in, and that this was particularly true for power generation, industrial uses and chemical feedstocks for plastics etc.
This is what happened - Russian domination of Europe's energy (and industrial) supplies - and by 2008 the countries most dependent on cheap Russian natural gas were (see this picture): Germany, Poland, Slovenia, Hungary, Turkey, Austria, the Czech Republic, Greece, the Netherlands, Austria, Spain, France, Italy, Italy, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom.
Pourquoi l’Union Européenne pourrait disparaître d’ici un an
(EN) https://politique.forum-a[...]ikodel-new-network#516929
Why the European Union could disappear within a year
The sacrificial vassal
Germany has been very powerful in the European Union and has imposed austerity on the weaker European economies of Greece, Spain, Italy and Portugal. Berlin is now demanding that other EU member states bail out the Germans from what will soon inevitably be an energy emergency resulting from Germany's compliance with the US demand not only to join the US sanctions against Russia, but also to shut down the Russian Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which was supposed to increase - rather than decrease (as it will now) - Europe's supply of Russian natural gas.
Germany was, until recently, the industrial engine of the EU, and therefore has the most to lose from a reduction and significant increase in its energy supplies. As these energy supplies are reduced, energy prices will rise and then soar, and the German economy will be crushed. German leaders (like those of other EU countries) have bowed to the demands of US sanctions against Russia (which are based on falsified "information"); as a result, the German people will soon be frozen out, even as Germany spends on energy at astronomically higher prices than it used to pay.
The fall in energy supplies from Russia will be replaced by an increase in supplies from other countries (including America) whose energy is much more expensive than Russia's; and only a small fraction of these reduced supplies from Russia can be replaced. Something will have to give, probably the EU itself, because the resulting rapid escalation of internal hostilities between EU nations - especially between Germany and the nations it now expects to bail it out of this crisis - could break up the EU itself irrevocably.
Variable geometry ecology
This will happen at the very moment when the EU - which was strongly committed to reducing or even eliminating nuclear and fossil fuels, especially coal - is suddenly rushing to dramatically increase its use of these environmentally unfriendly fuel sources. European voters will not like it when their leaders make a 180 degree turn on global warming. New and unanticipated issues will inevitably arise.
Moreover, the transition back to fossil fuels may not even happen as quickly as European leaders promise; and, as a result, not only will Europeans be cold next winter, but their leaders will have to explain themselves without admitting that they were wrong - terribly wrong and unprepared - and this undeniable fact will cause political chaos, as mutual recriminations about their multiple failures will cause Europeans to question the whole EU project, the project of creating a single, incomprehensibly bureaucratic European Union satellite of the United States.
Nostalgia for the past, for the beautiful independent nations of Europe, and bitterness for the future, for the 'north versus south' (etc.) in Europe, will take over, weakening the fabric of the EU and calling into question the whole post-World War II transatlantic alliance (subservient, in fact, to the Russia-hating US government), both US-NATO and its political twin, the US-dominated EU and its thousands of American servants in Brussels.
The most recent comprehensive assessment of the energy needs of the EU nations is the September 2008 report "Europe's Dependence on Russian Natural Gas: Prospects and Recommendations for a Long-Term Strategy" by Richard J. Anderson of the George C. Marshall European Center for Security Studies, funded by the US and European governments.
Marshall European Centre for Security Studies, funded by the US and German governments. He made it clear that the cheapest and fastest growing fuel in Europe (unless EU countries put policies in place to change this, which has not happened) was Russian natural gas piped in, and that this was particularly true for power generation, industrial uses and chemical feedstocks for plastics etc.
This is what happened - Russian domination of Europe's energy (and industrial) supplies - and by 2008 the countries most dependent on cheap Russian natural gas were (see this picture): Germany, Poland, Slovenia, Hungary, Turkey, Austria, the Czech Republic, Greece, the Netherlands, Austria, Spain, France, Italy, Italy, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom.
